Map of life expectancy at birth from Global Education Project.

Friday, November 26, 2021

Please remain calm

The world seems to be freaking out over the report of a new Covid-19 variant from South Africa. European countries are banning travel from southern Africa, financial markets are cratering, and of course it's all Joe Biden's fault.

 

 Here's a reasonably measured explanation from the AP. The facts are:


  • We don't actually know if this variant is any more transmissible than Delta, nor whether it is any less susceptible to immunity from vaccination or previous infection.
  • There is no evidence that it causes more severe disease.
  • The virus constantly mutates and new variants will continue to be found. If anything, this discovery is a testament to South Africa's excellent surveillance program -- this variant, and others, are probably already present in other places but just haven't been detected yet. 
  • This is probably nothing, but if it does require modifying the vaccines, the good news is that it is easy to rejigger the mRNA vaccines to match new variants. 
  • If the world freaks out and the markets tank every time a new variant is discovered, we'll be freaking out and tanking repeatedly forever. So don't do it.


1 comment:

Don Quixote said...

“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” That witticism

—attributed to AlbertEinstein

The human world seems to possess great skill in this area.