Map of life expectancy at birth from Global Education Project.

Sunday, July 14, 2024

Stochastic History

It seems my recent post on the randomness and contingency of history was well-timed. Some moron tried to kill Orange Julius and missed by an inch and a half. Just as John Hinckley Jr. was the best friend Ronald Reagan ever had,* this guy has done the Dumpster a huge favor. (At least he didn't turn out to be a transgender illegal immigrant.)


But consider the alternate reality in which he had judged the wind correctly. I won't actually speculate about what would have happened, because there are too many other contingencies that would arise. But the point is, an inch and a half to the right and we'd be in a completely different timeline. Don't expect events to make sense.

 


*Also, Osama bin Laden was the best friend George W. Bush ever had.

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